Binomial probability calculator calculates the probability distribution of the number of successes from a specific occurrence.
Binomial Distribution Calculator |
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Probability of Success (p): | |
Number of Events (n): | |
Number of Successes (x): | |
Binomial Probability (X = x): | |
Cumulative Probability (X < x): | |
Cumulative Probability (X <= x): | |
Cumulative Probability (X > x): | |
Cumulative Probability (X >= x): |
The binomial Distribution formula is:
nCxPx(1-P)(n-x)
while
n = number of events.
x = number of successes.
P = Probability of success.
nCx means combination,
it calculates the number of ways to select specific items from total items.
The formula of combination is
n!(n-x)!x!
For example, if you are on a 20 multi-choice question,
that is our number of events (n=20).
Each question has 5 answers, without studying, you have a 20% chance to be corrected for each question,
which is 1/5= 0.2.
That is our probability of success (p=0.2).
If you want to get exactly 12 questions right,
that is our number of successes(x=12).
To calculate your probability of 12 questions right, use the formula
n!(n-x)!x!Px(1-P)(n-x)
=20!(20-12)!12!0.212(1-0.2)(20-12)
=125970x0.000000004096x0.167772
=0.000086566
=0.00866%
On the other hand,
you have over a 99.99% chance that you will get at least 12 questions wrong by guessing the answers.
100%-0.00866%=99.99134%.
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